How our betting predictions work
A transparent, repeatable process: odds from many bookmakers, deep match research and a strict value test before anything is published.
1. Odds from dozens of bookmakers
For each upcoming match we collect match-result and totals prices from a wide range of bookmakers. For every outcome we record the best available odds, the average odds and the fair market probability, which is the bookmakers' implied probability with their margin removed.
2. In-depth research for every match
Each match is researched on its own, following a fixed checklist:
- Recent form of both teams: the last five games with scores
- League table position and points
- Injuries, suspensions and expected line-ups
- Head-to-head record
- Schedule, travel, fatigue and motivation
- Scoring trends for totals markets
Key facts are cross-checked against several independent sources. Verified statistics come from official data feeds; anything that cannot be confirmed is left out.
3. The value test
We estimate our own probability for each outcome and compare it with the market. The edge is our probability × best odds − 1. A match becomes a value pick only when the edge clears our threshold of 3% and our confidence is at least medium. Otherwise it is listed as analysed, without a recommendation.
4. Automatic, honest settlement
After the final whistle every pick is settled against the official score with a flat 1-unit stake at the best odds. All results stay public on the results page, including the losing ones.
Frequently asked questions
What is a value pick?
A value pick is a bet where our estimated probability multiplied by the best available odds is clearly above 1. In the long run, such bets are expected to return a profit even though any single bet can lose.
What does "edge" mean?
Edge is the expected profit of a 1-unit bet: our probability × best odds − 1. An edge of +5% means that, on average, a 1-unit stake is expected to return 0.05 units of profit.
What is the market probability?
It is the probability implied by bookmakers' odds after removing their margin, averaged across all bookmakers we track. It is a strong baseline: we only publish a value pick when we have concrete reasons to disagree with it.
How are results calculated?
Every pick is settled automatically against the official final score with a flat 1-unit stake at the best available odds. Football picks are settled on regulation time. Asian lines are settled with half wins and half losses; postponed or cancelled matches are void.
Which sports and leagues do you cover?
Mainly top European football (Premier League, La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga, Ligue 1, Champions League, Europa League), the NBA and the NHL.
Are the predictions guaranteed?
No. Sports are unpredictable and even strong value picks lose regularly. Treat predictions as analysis, bet only what you can afford to lose, and never chase losses.