Edmonton Oilers vs New York Rangers prediction
Kick-off:
Our value pick · Match result
Edmonton Oilers to win
Best odds at 1xBet · average 1.832 across 23 bookmakers
- Edge
- +14.9%
- Our probability
- 55.0%
- Market probability
- 52.2%
- Confidence
- Medium
Edmonton at home vs Rangers without Shesterkin — market underestimates gap in offense and Oilers' home form.
Match analysis
Shesterkin OUT for season (IR-LT, knee), Rangers team SV% .903 (Garand .906, Korpisalo .893). Edmonton leads division (12-3-3, 5-3-2 home), has league's best offense (4.11 GF/G, PP 33.8%) and won head-to-head 9 days ago 4-1 in New York. Rangers 2-5-1 away, their 3-game win streak vs SEA, PHI, STL. Last 10: Oilers 6-2-2 (3.7 GF), Rangers 4-5-1 (2.8 GF, 3.4 GA). Market gives 52.2% on Edmonton win, but gap in goalie class and scoring is larger.
Key factors
- Shesterkin OUT for season — Garand (.906) and Korpisalo (.893) weaker
- Edmonton 1st in Pacific (12-3-3), 5-3-2 home; Rangers 2-5-1 away
- H2H 01 Nov: Edmonton 4-1 in New York, Dach scored 2
- Oilers: 4.11 GF/G, PP 33.8%; Rangers: 3.06 GF/G, PP 20.8%
- Last 10: Edmonton 6-2-2 (3.7 GF), Rangers 4-5-1 (2.8 GF, 3.4 GA)
Risks to the pick
- Edmonton playing 2nd game in 3 days (08 Nov vs VAN, 10 Nov vs NYR) — fatigue possible
- Nugent-Hopkins and Dach day-to-day (head/illness), expected 09 Nov, but risk of absence remains
- Rangers on 3-game win streak, Garand in form (6-6-1, .906)
- Edmonton goalies not elite: Skinner .902, Levi .889 — could allow 3+
Form & standings
Edmonton Oilers Home
- 08 Nov 2026 home vs Vancouver Canucks 4-2 (W) · NHL
- 06 Nov 2026 home vs Anaheim Ducks 4-5 (L) · NHL
- 04 Nov 2026 away vs New Jersey Devils 3-4 (L) · NHL
- 01 Nov 2026 away vs New York Rangers 4-1 (W) · NHL
- 31 Oct 2026 away vs New York Islanders 4-0 (W) · NHL
New York Rangers Away
- 07 Nov 2026 away vs Seattle Kraken 4-3 (W) · NHL
- 06 Nov 2026 home vs Philadelphia Flyers 3-2 (W) · NHL
- 04 Nov 2026 home vs St. Louis Blues 3-1 (W) · NHL
- 01 Nov 2026 home vs Edmonton Oilers 1-4 (L) · NHL
- 26 Oct 2026 home vs Los Angeles Kings 3-6 (L) · NHL
Head-to-head
EDM leads series 1-0: 01 Nov 2026 New York Rangers 1-4 Edmonton Oilers
Injuries & team news
EDM: Nugent-Hopkins (DTD, head), Dach (DTD, illness) — expected 09 Nov; Howard (IR, knee), Regula (IR-LT), Savoie (IR-LT). NYR: Shesterkin (IR-LT, knee) — season; Durzi (IR), Veleno (IR), Thompson (IR), Smits (DTD, upper body) | ESPN: Edmonton Oilers: Colton Dach (C) — Day-To-Day, Illness, expected return 2026-11-09; Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (C) — Day-To-Day, Head, expected return 2026-11-09; Isaac Howard (LW) — Injured Reserve, Knee, expected return 2026-11-17; Alec Regula (D) — Injured Reserve, Undisclosed, expected return 2026-11-21; Matt Savoie (C) — Injured Reserve, Lower Body, expected return 2026-11-24 | New York Rangers: Alberts Smits (D) — Day-To-Day, Upper Body, expected return 2026-11-09; Sean Durzi (D) — Injured Reserve, Lower Body, expected return 2026-11-09; Igor Shesterkin (G) — Injured Reserve, Knee, expected return 2027-09-15; Joe Veleno (C) — Injured Reserve, Lower Body, expected return 2027-01-03; Aidan Thompson (C) — Injured Reserve, Undisclosed, expected return 2026-11-13
Scoring trends
EDM: 4.11 GF/G, 2.94 GA/G, last 10: 3.7/2.8. NYR: 3.06 GF/G, 2.89 GA/G, last 10: 2.8/3.4. Total 6.5: market 48.2% Over
Odds comparison
| Market | Selection | Best | Bookmaker | Avg. | Fair prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Edmonton Oilers to win | 2.09 | 1xBet | 1.832 | 52.2% |
| Match result | Draw | 4.4 | 1xBet | 4.243 | 21.9% |
| Match result | New York Rangers to win | 3.06 | 1xBet | 2.639 | 36.4% |
| Total | Over 6.5 | 2.17 | 1xBet | 1.983 | 48.2% |
| Total | Under 6.5 | 1.96 | Matchbook | 1.848 | 51.8% |
Odds at the time of analysis (). Prices move: always check your bookmaker.
Sources
18+ This prediction is analysis, not financial advice or a guaranteed outcome. Please gamble responsibly.