Anaheim Ducks vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction

Match analysis

Anaheim won their last 4 games with combined scores 5:3, 5:4, 5:4, 6:3 (average total 9.6). Team leads in power play (36.1% per ESPN). Pittsburgh played 08 Nov in Los Angeles (W 5:2) and flies to Anaheim on back-to-back; on the road Penguins are 2-6-1. Pittsburgh without Rust (top RW, out until Dec 5), Graves and van Riemsdyk on defense. Over last 10 games Ducks average 4.2 goals for + 4.2 against = 8.4 total (per ESPN preview), Penguins 3.1 + 3.7 = 6.8. Market gives fair_prob 54.5% on Over 6.5; given home form, visitor fatigue, and Pittsburgh defensive issues, conservative estimate ~60% yields ~13% edge at odds 1.89.

Key factors

• Anaheim last 5: 9.6 avg total (5:3, 5:4, 5:4, 6:3, 6:7)
• Pittsburgh on back-to-back after 08 Nov @LAK, road record 2-6-1
• Anaheim power play 36.1% (per ESPN) vs Pittsburgh PK 81.4%
• Pittsburgh without Bryan Rust (RW), Ryan Graves and Trevor van Riemsdyk on defense
• Ducks 4 straight wins, Gibson 10 goals allowed in last 10 games (per ESPN preview)

Risks to the pick

• Troy Terry (Anaheim top RW) on IR-LT, expected return 08 Nov, but preview lists as out — status unclear
• Ryan Poehling (C) Anaheim out until ~25 Nov
• Crosby/Malkin capable of controlling pace and reducing scoring
• Small sample: Anaheim's 4 wins include two by one-goal margins

Form & standings

Head-to-head

First meeting of 2026-27 season (per ESPN preview)

Injuries & team news

ANA: Terry (RW, hip, IR-LT, return 08 Nov), Poehling (C, lower body, IR, ~25 Nov), Greer (LW, upper body, IR, ~11 Nov), Moore (D, lower body, IR, ~08 Nov). PIT: Rust (RW, lower body, IR, ~05 Dec), Graves (D, knee, IR, ~28 Nov), van Riemsdyk (D, lower body, IR, ~11 Nov), Soderblom (LW, upper body, IR, ~14 Nov) | ESPN: Anaheim Ducks: A.J. Greer (LW) — Injured Reserve, Upper Body, expected return 2026-11-11; Troy Terry (RW) — Injured Reserve, Hip, expected return 2026-11-08; Ian Moore (D) — Injured Reserve, Lower Body, expected return 2026-11-08; Ryan Poehling (C) — Injured Reserve, Lower Body, expected return 2026-11-25 | Pittsburgh Penguins: Elmer Soderblom (LW) — Injured Reserve, Upper Body, expected return 2026-11-14; Bryan Rust (RW) — Injured Reserve, Lower Body, expected return 2026-12-05; Trevor van Riemsdyk (D) — Injured Reserve, Lower Body, expected return 2026-11-11; Ryan Graves (D) — Injured Reserve, Knee, expected return 2026-11-28

Scoring trends

ANA last 10: 4.2 goals for, 4.2 against (8.4 total) per ESPN preview. PIT last 10: 3.1 goals for, 3.7 against (6.8 total) per ESPN preview. ANA home games this season: 7 games, totals 5,7,6,6,11,13,9 (avg ~8.1). PIT away: 9 games, totals variable.

Odds comparison

Odds at the time of analysis (Sun, 8 Nov 2026 · 13:55 UTC). Prices move: always check your bookmaker.

Sources