Charlotte Hornets vs Cleveland Cavaliers prediction
Kick-off:
Our value pick · Total
Under 215.5
Best odds at 1xBet · average 1.877 across 9 bookmakers
- Edge
- +6.2%
- Our probability
- 55.0%
- Market probability
- 50.2%
- Confidence
- Medium
Under 215.5 points — Hornets offense weakened by injuries, Cavaliers without Allen, but Charlotte unlikely to score 100 points.
Match analysis
Charlotte lost 6 straight, averaging 91.6 points over last 5 (80, 104, 91, 104, 79). Without leader Brandon Miller (20.6 pts), primary playmaker Dennis Schroder (4.9 ast), and Grant Williams, the offense is dysfunctional (39% FG, 96.3 pts on season). Cleveland averages 117 pts on season, 116 over last 5, but two games vs Oklahoma City. Without Jarrett Allen (GTD) rim protection weakens, but Hornets lack tools to exploit. Combined form ~207.6 pts. Line 215.5 implies 50/50, true Under probability ~55%.
Key factors
- Hornets without Miller, Schroder, Williams — 3 key rotation players out, Diabate GTD
- Charlotte 6 straight losses, last 5 games averaging 91.6 pts (80 vs BOS, 79 vs WAS)
- Cavaliers without Allen (GTD) lose rim protection, but Hornets have no inside offense
- Season averages: CHA 96.3 / 110.2, CLE 117.0 / 114.1. Last 5 combined ~207.6 pts
- Hornets 20.8 ast, 18.1 TO — slow, turnover-prone play suppresses pace
Risks to the pick
- Cavaliers offense (27 ast) could push pace off Hornets turnovers in transition
- Allen's absence could give Hornets more offensive rebounds and second chances
- Early Cavaliers blowout could lead to garbage time and extra scoring
- Diabate return (GTD) would slightly boost Hornets rebounding and defense
Form & standings
Charlotte Hornets Home
- 07 Nov 2026 home vs Boston Celtics 80:119 (L) · NBA
- 05 Nov 2026 away vs Brooklyn Nets 104:114 (L) · NBA
- 03 Nov 2026 home vs Detroit Pistons 91:124 (L) · NBA
- 31 Oct 2026 home vs Philadelphia 76ers 104:109 (L) · NBA
- 30 Oct 2026 away vs Washington Wizards 79:95 (L) · NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers Away
- 08 Nov 2026 home vs New York Knicks 97:109 (L) · NBA
- 07 Nov 2026 home vs Philadelphia 76ers 119:95 (W) · NBA
- 05 Nov 2026 away vs Oklahoma City Thunder 116:124 (L) · NBA
- 03 Nov 2026 home vs Oklahoma City Thunder 112:117 (L) · NBA
- 01 Nov 2026 away vs Milwaukee Bucks 136:111 (W) · NBA
Head-to-head
No recent head-to-head data; Cavaliers roster significantly stronger
Injuries & team news
CHA: Miller (Out), Schroder (Out), Williams (Out), Knueppel (Out), Diabate (GTD). CLE: Allen (GTD), Merrill (Out), Tyson (Out) | ESPN: Charlotte Hornets: Grant Williams (F) — Out, Hamstring, expected return 2026-11-12; Kon Knueppel (G) — Out, Hamstring, expected return 2026-12-12; Moussa Diabate (F) — Day-To-Day, Quadriceps, expected return 2026-11-09; Dennis Schroder (G) — Out, Hamstring, expected return 2026-11-25; Brandon Miller (F) — Out, Groin, expected return 2026-11-12 | Cleveland Cavaliers: Sam Merrill (G) — Out, Elbow, expected return 2026-11-11; Jarrett Allen (C) — Day-To-Day, Knee, expected return 2026-11-09; Jaylon Tyson (G) — Out, Ankle, expected return 2026-11-11
Scoring trends
CHA 96.3 scored / 110.2 allowed; CLE 117.0 scored / 114.1 allowed. Last 5 combined ~207.6. Market 215.5
Odds comparison
| Market | Selection | Best | Bookmaker | Avg. | Fair prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Charlotte Hornets to win | 4.3 | Betfair | 3.709 | 25.6% |
| Match result | Cleveland Cavaliers to win | 1.3 | LeoVegas (SE) | 1.27 | 74.4% |
| Total | Over 214.5 | 1.92 | GTbets | 1.868 | 50.0% |
| Total | Under 214.5 | 1.92 | GTbets | 1.87 | 50.0% |
| Total | Over 215 | 1.91 | BetOnline.ag | 1.91 | 50.1% |
| Total | Under 215 | 1.93 | Coolbet | 1.92 | 49.9% |
| Total | Over 215.5 | 2.02 | Pinnacle | 1.897 | 49.8% |
| Total | Under 215.5 | 1.93 | 1xBet | 1.877 | 50.2% |
| h2h_lay | Charlotte Hornets | 4.5 | Matchbook | 4.5 | 22.6% |
| h2h_lay | Cleveland Cavaliers | 1.32 | Matchbook | 1.31 | 77.5% |
Odds at the time of analysis (). Prices move: always check your bookmaker.
Sources
18+ This prediction is analysis, not financial advice or a guaranteed outcome. Please gamble responsibly.