Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks prediction
Kick-off: · Finished
Our value pick · Match result
Cleveland Cavaliers to win
Best odds at Betfair · average 2.69 across 24 bookmakers
- Edge
- +7.9%
- Our probability
- 38.0%
- Market probability
- 35.4%
- Confidence
- Medium
Cleveland undervalued by market: ESPN BPI gives 45.6% vs market 35.4%, home 4-1 and won last game without Allen.
Match analysis
Cleveland's market win probability 35.4% (odds 2.84), while ESPN BPI rates chances at 45.6%. Cavs 4-1 home, average game total 231.0 (4 of 5 over 223.5). Knicks 1-2 away, average total 218.4 (only 2 of 5 over 223.5). Jarrett Allen's absence (OUT, knee) already priced in: on Nov 7 Cleveland beat Philadelphia 119:95 without him. Tactical matchup (Mitchell/Harden vs Brunson) and Cavs pace (119.2 PPG) create value on underdog.
Key factors
- Cleveland 4-1 home, average total 231.0 (4/5 over 223.5)
- Knicks 1-2 away, average total 218.4 (2/5 over 223.5)
- Allen OUT (knee), but Cleveland won last home game without him 119:95
- ESPN BPI: Cleveland 45.6% vs market 35.4%
Risks to the pick
- Allen key defender, without him Cleveland may allow 120+
- Knicks rested 2 days, Brunson 25.6 PPG
- Early season, small sample
Form & standings
Cleveland Cavaliers Home
- 07 Nov 2026 home vs Philadelphia 76ers 119:95 (W) · NBA
- 05 Nov 2026 away vs Oklahoma City Thunder 116:124 (L) · NBA
- 03 Nov 2026 home vs Oklahoma City Thunder 112:117 (L) · NBA
- 01 Nov 2026 away vs Milwaukee Bucks 136:111 (W) · NBA
- 30 Oct 2026 away vs Atlanta Hawks 111:114 (L) · NBA
New York Knicks Away
- 05 Nov 2026 home vs Chicago Bulls 135:105 (W) · NBA
- 03 Nov 2026 home vs Brooklyn Nets 103:90 (W) · NBA
- 30 Oct 2026 away vs Philadelphia 76ers 93:98 (L) · NBA
- 29 Oct 2026 away vs Chicago Bulls 133:127 (W) · NBA
- 28 Oct 2026 home vs Detroit Pistons 111:97 (W) · NBA
Head-to-head
First head-to-head match of 2026-27 season (0-0)
Injuries & team news
CLE: Jarrett Allen (OUT, knee), Sam Merrill (OUT, elbow), Jaylon Tyson (OUT, ankle), Nae'Qwan Tomlin (OUT, back). NYK: Josh Hart (OUT, ankle) | ESPN: Cleveland Cavaliers: Jaylon Tyson (G) — Out, Ankle, expected return 2026-11-09; Sam Merrill (G) — Out, Elbow, expected return 2026-11-09; Jarrett Allen (C) — Out, Knee, expected return 2026-11-09 | New York Knicks: Josh Hart (G) — Out, Ankle, expected return 2026-11-10
Scoring trends
CLE average total 231.0 (4/5 over 223.5), NYK average total 218.4 (2/5 over 223.5)
Odds comparison
| Market | Selection | Best | Bookmaker | Avg. | Fair prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Cleveland Cavaliers to win | 2.84 | Betfair | 2.69 | 35.4% |
| Match result | New York Knicks to win | 1.54 | Betfair | 1.47 | 64.6% |
| Total | Over 223 | 1.91 | BetOnline.ag | 1.9 | 50.6% |
| Total | Under 223 | 2.01 | Pinnacle | 1.943 | 49.4% |
| Total | Over 223.5 | 1.94 | Matchbook | 1.877 | 50.0% |
| Total | Under 223.5 | 1.97 | 1xBet | 1.88 | 50.0% |
| h2h_lay | Cleveland Cavaliers | 2.9 | Matchbook | 2.88 | 35.1% |
| h2h_lay | New York Knicks | 1.56 | Matchbook | 1.555 | 64.9% |
Odds at the time of analysis (). Prices move: always check your bookmaker.
Sources
18+ This prediction is analysis, not financial advice or a guaranteed outcome. Please gamble responsibly.