New York Islanders vs New Jersey Devils prediction
Kick-off: · Finished
Our value pick · Match result
New Jersey Devils to win
Best odds at 1xBet · average 1.885 across 23 bookmakers
- Edge
- +18.8%
- Our probability
- 55.0%
- Market probability
- 50.9%
- Confidence
- Medium
Devils are undervalued due to Islanders' injury crisis (Barzal, Pulock, Romanov) and superior recent form (8-2-0 vs 5-3-2 last 10).
Match analysis
New Jersey enters on a three-game win streak with elite offensive metrics (3.50 goals/game, 32.9 shots/game), while Islanders have lost their last two home games scoring only 3 goals total. Injury gap is massive: NYI lose 1C (Barzal), 1D (Pulock), and 2D (Romanov) — three top-6 players — vs only depth defenseman Casey for NJ. Sorokin (.911 SV%) stabilizes but faces 27+ shots per game behind an exhausted defense. Devils' road form is strong (3-3-0, wins in Vegas and Dallas). Market fair_prob 50.9% on Devils regulation win is low; true probability closer to 55-56%.
Key factors
- Islanders without Barzal (1C), Pulock (1D), Romanov (1D) — three top-6 players out long-term
- Devils 8-2-0 last 10 (4.0 goals/game, 2.5 allowed) vs Islanders 5-3-2 (2.6 goals, 2.8 allowed)
- Devils dominate underlying metrics: 32.9 vs 25.6 shots/game, 25.0 vs 27.1 shots allowed/game
- Islanders scored 3 goals in last 2 home games (0 vs EDM, 3 vs CAR) without Barzal
- Devils won 5-1 in Dallas and 5-2 in Vegas recently; play confidently on the road
Risks to the pick
- Sorokin (.911 SV%) can single-handedly steal a low-scoring game
- Devils played OT vs STL Nov 6 (one day rest); fatigue possible
- Divisional rivalry / bounce-back factor for Islanders at home (4-3-1)
- Goalie uncertainty: Allen (.887) and Hellebuyck (.891) splitting time for NJ
Form & standings
New York Islanders Home
- 06 Nov 2026 home vs Carolina Hurricanes 3:5 (L) · NHL
- 31 Oct 2026 home vs Edmonton Oilers 0:4 (L) · NHL
- 30 Oct 2026 away vs Minnesota Wild 4:3 (W) · NHL
- 28 Oct 2026 away vs Nashville Predators 4:3 (W) · NHL
- 25 Oct 2026 away vs Dallas Stars 3:6 (L) · NHL
New Jersey Devils Away
- 06 Nov 2026 home vs St. Louis Blues 5:4 (W) · NHL
- 04 Nov 2026 home vs Edmonton Oilers 4:3 (W) · NHL
- 30 Oct 2026 away vs Vegas Golden Knights 5:2 (W) · NHL
- 29 Oct 2026 away vs Colorado Avalanche 2:5 (L) · NHL
- 28 Oct 2026 away vs Dallas Stars 5:1 (W) · NHL
Head-to-head
NYI lead series 1-0: 03 Oct 2026 New York Islanders 6:0 New Jersey Devils
Injuries & team news
NYI: Barzal (C, IR, knee), Pulock (D, OUT, upper body), Romanov (D, IR, knee), Maccelli (LW, IR), Ritchie (C, IR). NJD: Casey (D, IR, knee) only. | ESPN: New York Islanders: Mathew Barzal (C) — Injured Reserve, Knee, expected return 2026-11-14; Ryan Pulock (D) — Out, Upper Body, expected return 2026-11-28; Matias Maccelli (LW) — Injured Reserve, Lower Body, expected return 2026-11-17; Calum Ritchie (C) — Injured Reserve, Lower Body, expected return 2026-12-01; Alexander Romanov (D) — Injured Reserve, Knee, expected return 2027-04-08 | New Jersey Devils: Seamus Casey (D) — Injured Reserve, Knee, expected return 2026-11-21
Scoring trends
Devils last 10: 4.0 scored / 2.5 allowed. Islanders last 10: 2.6 scored / 2.8 allowed. Combined average ~6.0; lean Over 5.5 but market efficient.
Odds comparison
| Market | Selection | Best | Bookmaker | Avg. | Fair prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | New York Islanders to win | 3.1 | LeoVegas (SE) | 2.577 | 37.5% |
| Match result | Draw | 4.35 | LeoVegas (SE) | 4.183 | 22.4% |
| Match result | New Jersey Devils to win | 2.16 | 1xBet | 1.885 | 50.9% |
| Total | Over 5.5 | 1.8 | 1xBet | 1.746 | 54.6% |
| Total | Under 5.5 | 2.16 | Matchbook | 2.096 | 45.4% |
| Total | Over 6 | 1.97 | Pinnacle | 1.93 | 49.7% |
| Total | Under 6 | 1.92 | Pinnacle | 1.905 | 50.3% |
Odds at the time of analysis (). Prices move: always check your bookmaker.
Sources
18+ This prediction is analysis, not financial advice or a guaranteed outcome. Please gamble responsibly.