Seattle Kraken vs New York Rangers prediction

Kick-off: · Finished

Final score3 : 4
Lost-1.00u

Our value pick · Match result

Seattle Kraken to win

Best odds at LeoVegas (SE) · average 2.443 across 23 bookmakers

2.88best odds
Edge
+21.0%
Our probability
42.0%
Market probability
39.4%
Confidence
Medium

Seattle undervalued at home vs tired Rangers on backup goalie in 3rd game in 4 nights

Match analysis

Rangers 1-5-1 away and playing 3rd game in 4 nights (04 Nov 2026 vs STL, 06 Nov 2026 vs PHI, 07 Nov 2026 @ SEA) with backup goalie Dylan Garand (.906 SV%, 2.52 GAA) while Shesterkin (Vezina) and Korpisalo injured. Seattle 5-2-0 at home, rested since 05 Nov 2026. First head-to-head of season. Rangers weak PP (20%) poses minimal threat to Kraken poor PK (65%). Market overvalues Rangers name and their 2 recent home wins vs weak opponents. Rest advantage and goalie gap create value on Seattle regulation win at 2.88.

Key factors

  • Rangers 1-5-1 away vs Seattle 5-2-0 home
  • Rangers 3rd game in 4 nights with backup goalie Garand (.906 SV%)
  • Shesterkin and Korpisalo both injured for Rangers
  • Seattle averaging 3.47 goals/game at home (overall), 3.4 over last 5 home games
  • Rangers PP 20% vs Kraken PK 65% — minimal threat on power play

Risks to the pick

  • Garand won last 2 starts (vs STL, PHI at home)
  • Kraken without top scorer Jared McCann (LW) until 02 Jan 2027
  • High NHL variance: Seattle recently lost at home to MIN 1:5
  • Rangers have elite defense (Fox) even without Shesterkin

Form & standings

Seattle Kraken Home

WLWLW#3 in table
  • 05 Nov 2026 home vs Calgary Flames 2:1 (W) · NHL
  • 31 Oct 2026 away vs Calgary Flames 2:6 (L) · NHL
  • 29 Oct 2026 home vs Toronto Maple Leafs 5:4 (W) · NHL
  • 25 Oct 2026 home vs Minnesota Wild 1:5 (L) · NHL
  • 23 Oct 2026 home vs Utah Mammoth 5:3 (W) · NHL

New York Rangers Away

WWLLL#2 in table
  • 06 Nov 2026 home vs Philadelphia Flyers 3:2 (W) · NHL
  • 04 Nov 2026 home vs St. Louis Blues 3:1 (W) · NHL
  • 01 Nov 2026 home vs Edmonton Oilers 1:4 (L) · NHL
  • 26 Oct 2026 home vs Los Angeles Kings 3:6 (L) · NHL
  • 24 Oct 2026 away vs Ottawa Senators 4:7 (L) · NHL

Head-to-head

First meeting of 2026-27 season

Injuries & team news

SEA: McCann (LW, 02 Jan 2027), Lindgren (D, 19 Nov 2026), Kokko (G, 14 Nov 2026), Douglas (C, 12 Nov 2026), Melanson (RW, 01 Dec 2026). NYR: Shesterkin (G, season), Korpisalo (G), Durzi (D, 09 Nov 2026), Veleno (C, 03 Jan 2027), Thompson (C, 13 Nov 2026), Sykora (LW, 25 Jan 2027) | ESPN: Seattle Kraken: Nikke Kokko (G) — Injured Reserve, Not Injury Related, expected return 2026-11-14; Curtis Douglas (C) — Injured Reserve, Upper Body, expected return 2026-11-12; Jared McCann (LW) — Injured Reserve, Lower Body, expected return 2027-01-02; Jacob Melanson (RW) — Injured Reserve, Chest, expected return 2026-12-01; Ryan Lindgren (D) — Injured Reserve, Upper Body, expected return 2026-11-19 | New York Rangers: Sean Durzi (D) — Injured Reserve, Lower Body, expected return 2026-11-09; Igor Shesterkin (G) — Injured Reserve, Knee, expected return 2027-09-15; Joe Veleno (C) — Injured Reserve, Lower Body, expected return 2027-01-03; Aidan Thompson (C) — Injured Reserve, Undisclosed, expected return 2026-11-13; Adam Sykora (LW) — Injured Reserve, Lower Body, expected return 2027-01-25

Scoring trends

SEA overall: 3.47 scored, 3.53 allowed (7.0 total). NYR overall: 3.00 scored, 2.88 allowed (5.88 total). Combined ~6.44. Last 10: SEA 6.9 total, NYR 6.0 total (per ESPN preview)

Odds comparison

MarketSelectionBestBookmakerAvg.Fair prob.
Match resultSeattle Kraken to win2.88LeoVegas (SE)2.44339.4%
Match resultDraw4.35LeoVegas (SE)4.17322.4%
Match resultNew York Rangers to win2.231xBet1.95848.9%
TotalOver 5.51.681xBet1.66257.5%
TotalUnder 5.52.291xBet2.2542.5%
TotalOver 6.52.15Tipico2.01247.5%
TotalUnder 6.51.88Pinnacle1.81952.5%

Odds at the time of analysis (). Prices move: always check your bookmaker.

Sources

18+ This prediction is analysis, not financial advice or a guaranteed outcome. Please gamble responsibly.