Seattle Kraken vs New York Rangers prediction
Kick-off: · Finished
Our value pick · Match result
Seattle Kraken to win
Best odds at LeoVegas (SE) · average 2.443 across 23 bookmakers
- Edge
- +21.0%
- Our probability
- 42.0%
- Market probability
- 39.4%
- Confidence
- Medium
Seattle undervalued at home vs tired Rangers on backup goalie in 3rd game in 4 nights
Match analysis
Rangers 1-5-1 away and playing 3rd game in 4 nights (04 Nov 2026 vs STL, 06 Nov 2026 vs PHI, 07 Nov 2026 @ SEA) with backup goalie Dylan Garand (.906 SV%, 2.52 GAA) while Shesterkin (Vezina) and Korpisalo injured. Seattle 5-2-0 at home, rested since 05 Nov 2026. First head-to-head of season. Rangers weak PP (20%) poses minimal threat to Kraken poor PK (65%). Market overvalues Rangers name and their 2 recent home wins vs weak opponents. Rest advantage and goalie gap create value on Seattle regulation win at 2.88.
Key factors
- Rangers 1-5-1 away vs Seattle 5-2-0 home
- Rangers 3rd game in 4 nights with backup goalie Garand (.906 SV%)
- Shesterkin and Korpisalo both injured for Rangers
- Seattle averaging 3.47 goals/game at home (overall), 3.4 over last 5 home games
- Rangers PP 20% vs Kraken PK 65% — minimal threat on power play
Risks to the pick
- Garand won last 2 starts (vs STL, PHI at home)
- Kraken without top scorer Jared McCann (LW) until 02 Jan 2027
- High NHL variance: Seattle recently lost at home to MIN 1:5
- Rangers have elite defense (Fox) even without Shesterkin
Form & standings
Seattle Kraken Home
- 05 Nov 2026 home vs Calgary Flames 2:1 (W) · NHL
- 31 Oct 2026 away vs Calgary Flames 2:6 (L) · NHL
- 29 Oct 2026 home vs Toronto Maple Leafs 5:4 (W) · NHL
- 25 Oct 2026 home vs Minnesota Wild 1:5 (L) · NHL
- 23 Oct 2026 home vs Utah Mammoth 5:3 (W) · NHL
New York Rangers Away
- 06 Nov 2026 home vs Philadelphia Flyers 3:2 (W) · NHL
- 04 Nov 2026 home vs St. Louis Blues 3:1 (W) · NHL
- 01 Nov 2026 home vs Edmonton Oilers 1:4 (L) · NHL
- 26 Oct 2026 home vs Los Angeles Kings 3:6 (L) · NHL
- 24 Oct 2026 away vs Ottawa Senators 4:7 (L) · NHL
Head-to-head
First meeting of 2026-27 season
Injuries & team news
SEA: McCann (LW, 02 Jan 2027), Lindgren (D, 19 Nov 2026), Kokko (G, 14 Nov 2026), Douglas (C, 12 Nov 2026), Melanson (RW, 01 Dec 2026). NYR: Shesterkin (G, season), Korpisalo (G), Durzi (D, 09 Nov 2026), Veleno (C, 03 Jan 2027), Thompson (C, 13 Nov 2026), Sykora (LW, 25 Jan 2027) | ESPN: Seattle Kraken: Nikke Kokko (G) — Injured Reserve, Not Injury Related, expected return 2026-11-14; Curtis Douglas (C) — Injured Reserve, Upper Body, expected return 2026-11-12; Jared McCann (LW) — Injured Reserve, Lower Body, expected return 2027-01-02; Jacob Melanson (RW) — Injured Reserve, Chest, expected return 2026-12-01; Ryan Lindgren (D) — Injured Reserve, Upper Body, expected return 2026-11-19 | New York Rangers: Sean Durzi (D) — Injured Reserve, Lower Body, expected return 2026-11-09; Igor Shesterkin (G) — Injured Reserve, Knee, expected return 2027-09-15; Joe Veleno (C) — Injured Reserve, Lower Body, expected return 2027-01-03; Aidan Thompson (C) — Injured Reserve, Undisclosed, expected return 2026-11-13; Adam Sykora (LW) — Injured Reserve, Lower Body, expected return 2027-01-25
Scoring trends
SEA overall: 3.47 scored, 3.53 allowed (7.0 total). NYR overall: 3.00 scored, 2.88 allowed (5.88 total). Combined ~6.44. Last 10: SEA 6.9 total, NYR 6.0 total (per ESPN preview)
Odds comparison
| Market | Selection | Best | Bookmaker | Avg. | Fair prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Seattle Kraken to win | 2.88 | LeoVegas (SE) | 2.443 | 39.4% |
| Match result | Draw | 4.35 | LeoVegas (SE) | 4.173 | 22.4% |
| Match result | New York Rangers to win | 2.23 | 1xBet | 1.958 | 48.9% |
| Total | Over 5.5 | 1.68 | 1xBet | 1.662 | 57.5% |
| Total | Under 5.5 | 2.29 | 1xBet | 2.25 | 42.5% |
| Total | Over 6.5 | 2.15 | Tipico | 2.012 | 47.5% |
| Total | Under 6.5 | 1.88 | Pinnacle | 1.819 | 52.5% |
Odds at the time of analysis (). Prices move: always check your bookmaker.
Sources
18+ This prediction is analysis, not financial advice or a guaranteed outcome. Please gamble responsibly.